The Broker Simulation Model in the Emission Allowances Trading Area


  • Petr Cermak Silesian University in Opava
  • Jarmila Zimmermannova Moravian University College Olomouc
  • Jan Lavrincik Moravian University College Olomouc
  • Miroslav Pokorny Moravian University College Olomouc
  • Jiri Martinu Silesian University in Opava


This paper is focused on possibilities of simulations of emission allowances trading within the EU emission trading system using new designed broker simulation model which integrates different original soft computing and decision making methods. Firstly, the paper presents the background of the EU emissions trading system and an overview of different methods used in current research connected with CO2 emission allowances trading. The key part of the paper focuses on the broker simulation model creation and application. The results are based on expert systems with fuzzy rule bases, nonlinear fuzzy rule based predictors and fuzzy rule based behavior modelling. The application part of the results has been performed in Matlab. The broker simulation model is able to make decisions connected with the traded amount, price of allowances and buy/sell actions within the time on the market.

Keywords: EU ETS; Fuzzy modelling; Broker

JEL Classifications: C44; Q48; Q58


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Author Biography

Jarmila Zimmermannova, Moravian University College Olomouc

Department of Economics




How to Cite

Cermak, P., Zimmermannova, J., Lavrincik, J., Pokorny, M., & Martinu, J. (2014). The Broker Simulation Model in the Emission Allowances Trading Area. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 5(1), 80–95. Retrieved from